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The population
of the United States of America is projected to grow continuously
for many decades to come. By the end of the century the US
population will be approximately the same size as that of the 27
states that make up the European Union.
China's
population, on the other hand will only slightly grow (due to its
momentum effect) until around 2025. Then it will start to decline
significantly until it will reach a bit more than 900 million.
For
comparison: India's population will outgrow that of China by 2020
and then further increase to more than 1.7 billion around 2065. Only
then it is projected to start declining.
A most
dramatic demographic change is projected for the most populous
country in Africa: Nigeria. While its population was only around 38
million in 1950, it has now increased to about 150 million and is
projected to reach almost 750 million by the end of the century.
Shortly after 2050 Nigeria's population will become larger than the
(growing) population of the United States; and by 2065 Nigeria's
population will outgrow the population of the 27 states of the
European Union combined. In fact, around 2070 Nigeria's
population will be as large as China's population in 1950.
India is
another country with remarkable population growth: By 1950 India's
population was almost exactly the same size as that of the 27
countries of the European Union combined. Today India has four times
as many people and by around 2060, India's population will be 3.4
times that of Europe. Within about one century, India's population
has outgrown Europe's population by 1.2 billion people.
These
fundamental discrepancies in population growth will shift the
geo-strategic weight away from Europe towards Asia and Africa. |